Why large-scale climate indices seem to predict ecological processes better than local weather
Timothy B. Hallett, Tim Coulson, Jill G. Pilkington, Tim Clutton-brock, Josephine M. Pemberton, Bryan T. Grenfell (2004). Why large-scale climate indices seem to predict ecological processes better than local weather. Nature, 430(6995), pp. 71-75, DOI: 10.1038/nature02708.