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  5. Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability

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Preprint
English
2024

Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability

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English
2024
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu24-21005

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Carl Folke
Carl Folke

Royal Swedish Academy Of Sciences

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Peter Søgaard Jørgensen
Raf E. V. Jansen
Daniel Ortega
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Abstract

The Anthropocene is characterized by accelerating change and global challenges of increasing complexity and most recently by what some have called a polycrisis. Based on an adaptation of the evolutionary traps concept to a global human context, we explore whether the human trajectory of increasing complexity and influence on the Earth system could become a form of Anthropocene trap for humanity. We identify 14 Anthropocene traps and categorize them as either global, technology or structural traps. An assessment reveals that 12 traps (86%) could be in an advanced phase of trapping with high risk of hard-to-reverse lock-ins and growing risks of negative impacts on human well-being. Ten traps (71%) currently see growing trends in their indicators. Revealing the systemic nature of the polycrisis, we assess that Anthropocene traps often interact reinforcingly (45% of pairwise interactions), and rarely in a dampening fashion (3%). We end by discussing capacities that will be important for navigating these systemic challenges in pursuit of global sustainability. Doing so, we introduce evolvability as a unifying concept for such research between the sustainability and evolutionary sciences.

How to cite this publication

Peter Søgaard Jørgensen, Raf E. V. Jansen, Daniel Ortega, Lan Wang‐Erlandsson, Jonathan F. Donges, Henrik Österblom, Per Olsson, Magnus Nyström, Steven J. Lade, Thomas P. Hahn, Carl Folke, Garry Peterson, Anne‐Sophie Crépin (2024). Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability. , DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu24-21005.

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Publication Details

Type

Preprint

Year

2024

Authors

13

Datasets

0

Total Files

0

Language

English

DOI

10.5194/egusphere-egu24-21005

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